Iran Can Cut the Internet. It Cannot Keep It Cut
Iran’s 88-day nationwide internet shutdown following February 2026 strikes, the longest ever measured, ended in late May after Communications Minister Sattar Hashemi confirmed roughly 50 percent of national traffic was bypassing official gateways via Starlink, with volume comparable to state-controlled infrastructure. Independent measurement by IPInfo shows Iranian reachable IP space fell to 0.45 percent of baseline in early March 2026, with consumer ISPs reduced to 0.2 to 2.9 percent of normal reachability while state networks held steady. The Iran Blockchain Association estimated daily losses at $23 million to $60 million over 70 days, with cumulative damage projected at $1.7 billion to $4.1 billion, forcing retreat despite factional commitment to permanent disconnection modeled on North Korea.